California Offense vs Utah Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The California offense (#22) is pretty darn good again after swapping in Davis Webb for Jared Goff. They are not as good as last year, but last year Cal's offense was closer to great than than very good. Cal is yet to play a really good defense so, Utah who I think the model is still underrating, should be a step up.
Cal is OK at Drive Efficiency and Play Efficiency, but they really shine on Explosive Drives and preventing Negative Drives. Webb reading Dykes's version of the Air Raid very well and is finding the big plays when they are available. That kind of dynamic is good, as Explosive Drives count for a lot in the model, but Cal has some room for improvement in building drives against good defenses.
Cal isn't very good at preventing D-plus plays and on 3rd down. They'll need to step this up against Utah because Utah is fully capable of getting pressure on Webb without blitzing. Cal needs to keep Webb upright to win this game.
Cal is OK at Drive Efficiency and Play Efficiency, but they really shine on Explosive Drives and preventing Negative Drives. Webb reading Dykes's version of the Air Raid very well and is finding the big plays when they are available. That kind of dynamic is good, as Explosive Drives count for a lot in the model, but Cal has some room for improvement in building drives against good defenses.
Cal isn't very good at preventing D-plus plays and on 3rd down. They'll need to step this up against Utah because Utah is fully capable of getting pressure on Webb without blitzing. Cal needs to keep Webb upright to win this game.
Utah's defense (#56) needs to have a great game against a good offense to get their ranking improved. They played pretty well against USC, but not great and quite a bit of Utah's low game point totals come from their not in a hurry offensive system. Utah needs a good game here to show everyone that this defense is the same kind of real as last year, even with the volumetric talking heads using per game metrics to judge them.
Utah is excellent at Drive Efficiency. They find ways to stifle drives even when they let you get a first down, even then they let you put up decent yards per play, and even controlling for field position. Utah is pretty good at D-plus plays. They get to the QB often enough and they will need to vs. Cal.
Utah is excellent at Drive Efficiency. They find ways to stifle drives even when they let you get a first down, even then they let you put up decent yards per play, and even controlling for field position. Utah is pretty good at D-plus plays. They get to the QB often enough and they will need to vs. Cal.
Utah is terrible at preventing Explosive Drives and at generating Negative Drives. This doesn't bode well against Cal. They don't put teams in 3 and out very often. They are also not great at 3rd down. They need to get Cal off the field when they get the chance because every extra play Cal gets is a chance for a home run.
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