UCLA Offense vs Arizona Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The UCLA offense (#45) is still playing at the UCLA discount. The change to a pro style hasn't paid dividends yet, and with two losses already, I think that check may have already bounced. If UCLA wins the Pac12 South that will take the sting out of it, but like Leonard Fournette at LSU, landing a player like Rosen brings expectations.
UCLA is very good at Drive Efficiency and avoiding Negative Drives. They don't beat themselves going 3 and out and they do connect on drives at a higher rate than their Play Efficiency metrics would lead you to believe. UCLA is also very good at preventing D-plus plays and on 3rd down. UCLA gets to the end zone by not making mistakes.
UCLA is not good at Play Efficiency or Explosive Drives, in fact they are downright terrible at Explosive Drives. This team is not a big play team and they don't get you in large chunks short of Explosive either. Two years ago, the last time Arizona played UCLA at the Rose Bowl and my dad, my brother, and I were in the stands, big UCLA plays were the difference in the game. That was a different Arizona defense...
UCLA is very good at Drive Efficiency and avoiding Negative Drives. They don't beat themselves going 3 and out and they do connect on drives at a higher rate than their Play Efficiency metrics would lead you to believe. UCLA is also very good at preventing D-plus plays and on 3rd down. UCLA gets to the end zone by not making mistakes.
UCLA is not good at Play Efficiency or Explosive Drives, in fact they are downright terrible at Explosive Drives. This team is not a big play team and they don't get you in large chunks short of Explosive either. Two years ago, the last time Arizona played UCLA at the Rose Bowl and my dad, my brother, and I were in the stands, big UCLA plays were the difference in the game. That was a different Arizona defense...
Arizona's defense (#73) is better than last year, for realsies, but they are not good yet. They held up Washington enough to keep Arizona in the game and Washington's offense looks pretty good in the model so far. Arizona blitz's a lot more under Yates and they haven't been significantly burned by it yet, but they also haven't generated a lot of game changing plays yet either, which is like playing 6's and 8's all night at the craps table.
Arizona is OK at Play Efficiency and Explosiveness and they are pretty good at 3rd down when you control for their schedule. This is good. Arizona makes you beat them across the field. The downside is that is what Washington did in the second half. They ran the ball down Arizona's throat and ate up all the clock.
Arizona is OK at Play Efficiency and Explosiveness and they are pretty good at 3rd down when you control for their schedule. This is good. Arizona makes you beat them across the field. The downside is that is what Washington did in the second half. They ran the ball down Arizona's throat and ate up all the clock.
Arizona is not very good at Drive Efficiency, Teams do drive all the way down the field on them. Arizona also isn't very good at creating Negative Drives or D-plus plays. Arizona needs to create more big negative plays and force far more 3 and outs; doing that could even improve Arizona's offense if they can force the tempo and get first downs.
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