Week 5 Matchup Utah Offense vs California Defense

Utah Offense vs California Defense

Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart


Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best


Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful

The Utah offense (#81) is rutting in the adulation of beating a name this week; with positive write ups in a few places. I admit it. I thought USC's defense was better than the model predicted. I am dumb. Utah has played one good defense, BYU, and they played pretty awfully. In a continuing theme for this week, they get another terrible defensive straw man to knock over in the Cal Bears.

Utah is absolutely stellar at avoiding Negative Drives. They don't get caught often in just going 3 and out, but they don't capitalize on it further. Given that Utah is pretty good at special teams this helps the field position game, but the flip side is that they are still struggling to avoid stalled drives.

Utah is pretty bad at everything else. They are not good at Drive Efficiency at all, their Play Efficiency isn't much better, and they are not Explosive. They just don't do a whole lot well beyond avoiding drives that average <3.3333 yards per play. They haven't been great on 3rd down, which is no real surprise given their other numbers and they have allowed a lot of D-plus plays given their schedule strength.

Cal's defense (#97) isn't going to fix Utah's offensive strength of schedule woes. They have been bad this year and they haven't even played teams the model thinks are good at offense. That said, if Utah puts up 50 offensive points I will be SHOCKED. The Utes are not Texas or even ASU.

Cal isn't that bad at Drive Efficiency. Hooray!

Cal is bad at everything else.They are terrible at Play Efficiency, Explosive Drives, Negative Drives, 3rd down, and D-plus plays. Cal's defense gets beat in every way imaginable. The only possible upside could be if they are playing a lot of young players in hopes of matriculating this into a good defense down the road.

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