Week 8 Matchup Colorado Offense vs. Stanford Defense

Colorado Offense vs Stanford Defense

Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart


Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best

The Colorado offense (#24) is coming off a dominant performance against ASU that sent the Sun Devil's falling a bit down the ranks. The Buffs ran the Devils ragged and Liufau had a pretty good game. It was a good bounceback for a lost weekend in LA the previous Saturday. Colorado's offense was the big question coming into the season and so far they have played better than expected. Stanford is going to be a tougher challenge on the road than ASU was at home.

Colorado is near excellent at Play Efficiency, and is good at Drive Efficiency, Explosive Drives, and avoiding Negative Drives. What makes all the per play numbers stick is the Drive Efficiency number. While it isn't great, it give some signal to Colorado's consistency, which is key. Averaging 20 yards a play for 4 plays can be 5,5,5,5 or 20,0,0,0 and one of those is more likely to get you points.

Colorado isn't great at preventing D-plus Plays or on 3rd down given their Strength of Schedule. They have played a decent schedule up to this point, but Michigan's defense is weighting that a bit. The danger is that Stanford is a better defense than USC and has some athletes too.

Stanford's defense (#33), like many units, has dampened its volatility as more data has come into the model. At one point the model thought they were pretty amazing, but then the Washington game happened. They are coming off a pretty good outing against a Notre Dame team that has looked good against some really bad defenses, but hasn't played all that well against any defense with a pulse. Stanford had to welcome the break of facing the Irish after two weeks of the Washington schools. The Cardinal is going to have to buckle down this week because Colorado is significantly more put together than the Irish.

Stanford is extremely good at Play Efficiency. They make you work for you yards on conventional plays. They are only OK at Drive Efficiency, Explosive Drives, and Negative Drives. Which isn't surprising given their top two corners missed some games. This looks like the profile of a team that has struggled out on the edges rather than in the box.  Stanford is also pretty good on 3rd down and at D-plus Plays given their Strength of Schedule.

Stanford's weakness is that it is so average at Drive Efficiency, Explosive Drives, and Negative Drives. They aren't bad enough at it to be glaring, but they are certainly in the range that a good Power 5 offense will exploit it.

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