Week 8 Matchup Oregon Offense vs. California Defense

Oregon Offense vs California Defense

Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best

The Oregon offense (#6) is having a split the atom in a vacuum kind of season. The only people talking about the Duck's prowess are advanced stats types, while traditional football pundits seem to think the whole program is on fire. The problem for the team, and for how the offense is perceieved, is that the defense is absurdly bad (#116). A bad defense can make an otherwise very good offense look bad because the offense always starts with poor field position, the offense is often playing from behind, the offense looks like it isn't making plays compared to the opponent's offense, and people are lazy thinkers. Oregon gets a huge break this week in Cal's defense after playing Washington and WSU prior to their bye week.

Oregon is excellent at Play Efficiency, Explosive Drives, avoiding Negative Drives, on 3rd down, and at preventing D-plus Plays. They are near excellent at Drive Efficiency. This offense is having an absurd season and if their defense were even passably good Oregon would be a serious contender.

The model loves Oregon and won't talk about their weaknesses.

Cal's defense (#113) is really bad. In fact Cal is sort of having a lesser version of Oregon's dual seasons. They have managed to make Oregon State, Utah, and ASU look competent on offense and that requires being really bad. Hopefully they took the bye week to try to get some things right, because mostly they haven't faced great offenses yet this season and one is coming to town.

Cal is struggling in all phases of Beta_Rank.

Cal isn't terrible at Drive Efficiency, Play Efficiency, preventing Explosive Drives, creating Negative Drives, D-plus Plays and on 3rd down. Cal is going to absolutely have its work cut out for it. Maybe their offense will bail them out again.