Colorado Offense vs Oregon Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 5-6 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The Colorado offense (#20), looks much improved over last season in a small sample size and if they even manage to land somewhere in the 40's at the end of the season; Colorado will be bowling and probably have notched some upsets. Colorado torched CSU and was having a great game against Michigan until Sefo Liufau went down; again. Whether he plays or not will have a lot to say about the outcome of this game.
Colorado's offense is good, but not great at most everything (the difference between good and great is actually huge in NCAA football). They are pretty explosive and that helped them put up 28 at the Big House, not a lot of teams will do that I expect. They also avoid allowing D-plus plays (sacks, TFL's, turnovers, pass deflections, QB Hurries). They avoid Negative Drives pretty well.
Colorado is middle of the road at Drive Efficiency and Play Efficiency. They don't score get more out of their drives, controlling for all the other factors, than teams in the 50th percentile, and they don't rely on generating strong yards per play, but not Explosive drives to score points. They are not great on Third Down, so getting them there will get them off the field about as often as the teams at the 50th percentile.
Oregon's defense (#55) isn't playing all that well so far this year. Oregon is a bit of a test case for how people talk about football in an enlightened way. Volumetric types will go on about how bad they are, while advanced stats, that control for tempo, have actually rated them pretty highly in recent years. Last year was bad though (#79) and it cost Don Pellum the coordinator spot. Oregon has played some decent offenses in Nebraska and Virginia, but didn't exactly stonewall them. When you look at their numbers you don't see a team that blitz's often.
Oregon's defense is good at two things; limiting Play Efficiency and preventing Explosive Drives. They are actually very good at the latter. Oregon is going to make you drive the length of the field methodically and score, the problem is that, well, they let you drive the length of the field and score.
Oregon is bad at Drive Efficiency, controlling for all the other factors Oregon gives up a lot more points per drive than a very good defense. They don't create many Negative Drives or D-plus plays and they are not great at third down. Oregon seems content to try to force you to take what you can and repeat.
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 5-6 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The Colorado offense (#20), looks much improved over last season in a small sample size and if they even manage to land somewhere in the 40's at the end of the season; Colorado will be bowling and probably have notched some upsets. Colorado torched CSU and was having a great game against Michigan until Sefo Liufau went down; again. Whether he plays or not will have a lot to say about the outcome of this game.
Colorado's offense is good, but not great at most everything (the difference between good and great is actually huge in NCAA football). They are pretty explosive and that helped them put up 28 at the Big House, not a lot of teams will do that I expect. They also avoid allowing D-plus plays (sacks, TFL's, turnovers, pass deflections, QB Hurries). They avoid Negative Drives pretty well.
Colorado is middle of the road at Drive Efficiency and Play Efficiency. They don't score get more out of their drives, controlling for all the other factors, than teams in the 50th percentile, and they don't rely on generating strong yards per play, but not Explosive drives to score points. They are not great on Third Down, so getting them there will get them off the field about as often as the teams at the 50th percentile.
Oregon's defense (#55) isn't playing all that well so far this year. Oregon is a bit of a test case for how people talk about football in an enlightened way. Volumetric types will go on about how bad they are, while advanced stats, that control for tempo, have actually rated them pretty highly in recent years. Last year was bad though (#79) and it cost Don Pellum the coordinator spot. Oregon has played some decent offenses in Nebraska and Virginia, but didn't exactly stonewall them. When you look at their numbers you don't see a team that blitz's often.
Oregon's defense is good at two things; limiting Play Efficiency and preventing Explosive Drives. They are actually very good at the latter. Oregon is going to make you drive the length of the field methodically and score, the problem is that, well, they let you drive the length of the field and score.
Oregon is bad at Drive Efficiency, controlling for all the other factors Oregon gives up a lot more points per drive than a very good defense. They don't create many Negative Drives or D-plus plays and they are not great at third down. Oregon seems content to try to force you to take what you can and repeat.
Oregon is bad at Drive Efficiency, controlling for all the other factors Oregon gives up a lot more points per drive than a very good defense. They don't create many Negative Drives or D-plus plays and they are not great at third down. Oregon seems content to try to force you to take what you can and repeat.
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