Washington Offense vs Arizona Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Arizona doesn't do much else well though. They have been bad on 3rd down, bad at D-plus plays, bad at creating Negative Drives, and bad at Drive Efficiency. Arizona fans have been encouraged by the fact that Yates is sending extra pressure and that they haven't been burned for big plays, but they still struggle to get off the field.
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 5-6 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The Washington offense (#31), is exhibit A of how people forget what they just said 2 sentences ago. Everyone goes out of their way to point out that Washington hasn't played anyone yet and then they immediately forget that to gush about how good Washington's offense looks. The model thinks Washington's offense is better than last year, on a small sample, but Washington is closer to the mushy side of average than they are to great; remember that the distance from good to great is larger than the distance from good to mildly bad in NCAA Beta_Rank. I attended Rutgers vs. New Mexico last weekend and Rutgers is terrible at football and that is the best defense Washington has seen. There is a reason they rank #101 in Offensive Schedule Strength.
Washington has relied heavily on Explosive Drives so far to score points, this is a product of the small sample and the poor defenses Washington has played. This is probably a good thing for a still young offense to put it together and work out some kinks vs. very inferior competition.
Washington hasn't been tested though and they haven't put together drives with consistent Play Efficiency and Drive Efficiency. They also haven't been great on 3rd down or avoiding D-plus plays or Negative Drives. Arizona likes to blitz under Marcel Yates and they will definetley throw a mix of looks at Browning
Washington has relied heavily on Explosive Drives so far to score points, this is a product of the small sample and the poor defenses Washington has played. This is probably a good thing for a still young offense to put it together and work out some kinks vs. very inferior competition.
Washington hasn't been tested though and they haven't put together drives with consistent Play Efficiency and Drive Efficiency. They also haven't been great on 3rd down or avoiding D-plus plays or Negative Drives. Arizona likes to blitz under Marcel Yates and they will definetley throw a mix of looks at Browning
Arizona's defense (#97) has been all sorts of bad again, they were unusually bad last year, and that was mostly driven by injury, so they came into this year due for some mean regression. They haven't had that yet, in a small sample size, and here comes the injury bug again; at the wrong time. Arizona is probably suffering for giving up so many points to Hawaii in the model, and I think as more of a sample comes in they get better, but I doubt they finish the season on the sunnyside of #50 in the rankings.
Limiting Explosive Drives was a point of emphasis for Marcel Yates this year and so far Arizona seems to be delivering on it. They are going to have to work extra hard at it against Washington because Yates gambles more with the blitz than Casteel did, and blitzing can leave you more open to the big play. Arizona is also pretty good at limiting Play Efficiency.
Limiting Explosive Drives was a point of emphasis for Marcel Yates this year and so far Arizona seems to be delivering on it. They are going to have to work extra hard at it against Washington because Yates gambles more with the blitz than Casteel did, and blitzing can leave you more open to the big play. Arizona is also pretty good at limiting Play Efficiency.
Arizona doesn't do much else well though. They have been bad on 3rd down, bad at D-plus plays, bad at creating Negative Drives, and bad at Drive Efficiency. Arizona fans have been encouraged by the fact that Yates is sending extra pressure and that they haven't been burned for big plays, but they still struggle to get off the field.
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