Utah Offense vs Washington Defense
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
The Utah offense (#61) had the game of their lives against UCLA. The model didn't really adjust Utah up a ton, but it did drop UCLA's defense a few spots after the recently un-retired Joe Williams ran all over them. UCLA seemed totally unable to deal with the cutback, and Williams used it repeatedly to gash UCLA for huge gains. I am guessing Washington watched the tape of the UCLA game and said, "Huh, guess we won't do that." But a power running game is right in Utah's clock murdering wheelhouse for a game like Washington. If Utah's offense has really turned a corner and become a different animal than their data suggests, then we'll see it against the Huskies.
Utah is excellent at avoiding Negative Drives and is pretty good at Play Efficiency. They are slightly on the sunnyside of average at Explosive Drives after all the big runs Williams had last week. Utah looks like a pretty good offense when you look at the per play metrics.
But Utah makes up for it with being really terribly inconsistent. This offense may do somethings well, but scoring in football requires that you string together uninterrupted instances where you did things well. Utah isn't great at that. They are not great at 3rd down or at D-plus plays either. They pretty much rely on being able to get to the QB.
Utah is excellent at avoiding Negative Drives and is pretty good at Play Efficiency. They are slightly on the sunnyside of average at Explosive Drives after all the big runs Williams had last week. Utah looks like a pretty good offense when you look at the per play metrics.
But Utah makes up for it with being really terribly inconsistent. This offense may do somethings well, but scoring in football requires that you string together uninterrupted instances where you did things well. Utah isn't great at that. They are not great at 3rd down or at D-plus plays either. They pretty much rely on being able to get to the QB.
Washington's defense (#12) did a pretty good job against the Beavers last week. They have played some decent offenses, even though their schedule over all isn't great. The Utah offense profile like a better version of Stanford, and maybe headed in different directions, at this point. Washington handled Stanford pretty well, though Stanford has no passing game. Troy Williams and the Utes are at least decent at throwing the ball around.
Washington is very very good at Drive Efficiency and Negative Drives. They are pretty good at Play Efficiency and Explosive Drives, but not anywhere near great at them. Washington forces you into 3 and outs or finds ways to get you off the field. They also don't let you put up a lot of big plays on them, though they did struggle with Brandon Dawkins mobility. Williams ins't in his range on the run, but he is mobile enough to grab a first down and keep the drive going.
Washington is very very good at Drive Efficiency and Negative Drives. They are pretty good at Play Efficiency and Explosive Drives, but not anywhere near great at them. Washington forces you into 3 and outs or finds ways to get you off the field. They also don't let you put up a lot of big plays on them, though they did struggle with Brandon Dawkins mobility. Williams ins't in his range on the run, but he is mobile enough to grab a first down and keep the drive going.
Washington isn't great on 3rd down or at D-plus Plays. They don't blitz a ton, so they beat you by making you make mistakes rather than trying to bring pressure to make plays or by pressuring you on 3rd down. If they can just remember not to over-pursue the ball at the line of scrimmage and leave a backer to cover the cutback then they should be fine.
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