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on November 22, 2017

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Week 12 Matchup Arizona Offense vs. Oregon State Defense

Arizona Offense vs Oregon State Defense Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best The Arizona offense (#36) is a bit of a paper tiger at this point. They have missed out on playing the two worst defenses in the Pac-12 this year in Oregon and Cal and that has made the offense look worse on paper, but the model controls for that. Compared to the brutal slog of the rest of the season, the game they had against Colorado was great, Colorado has a very good defense and Arizona put up some yards against them, but they left a lot of points on the table. The red zone play calling was terrible. Arizona had 3 shots inside the 10 and they couldn't call basic WR drag plays to free up space on the edge for a TE to run a 5 and out or the QB to make the corner. Rodriguez should be embarrassed by his play calling in the red zone. We have t...

Week 6 Matchup USC Offense vs. Colorado Defense

USC Offense vs Colorado Defense Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful The USC offense (#46) isn't as good as they need to be to salvage any hope for this season. They beat up on ASU last week, but ASU was a paper tiger whose , much lauded, start is not going to age well as the season goes on. USC needed a game against a bad opponent to get things back on track and drown out what has to be a lot of noise going on around the program. USC ratings have improved in some areas since they made the switch to Darnold. They are much improved at Explosive Drives, to the point that they are not quite an embarrasment, given how much talent is at the skill positions. They do not give up Negative Drives, in...

Week 6 Matchup Washington State Offense vs. Stanford Defense

Washington State Offense vs Stanford Defense Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful The Washington State offense (#12) is going to play a defense with a pulse! The last time they did that, it didn't go so well, so this game could be interesting. The model is still learning about the Cougs, since they played an FCS team and had a bye week already, so there is more potential variance in their numbers than in other teams at this point. Boy do they seem a lot like last year's team in early season W-L, narrative, numbers, but the offense is better. If they can keep that part of it up then the Apple Cup could decide a spot in the Pac12 title game. WSU is excellent at Drive Efficiency and avoidi...

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