Oregon State Offense vs Colorado Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Colorado isn't good at creating Negative Drives, which is problematic, but they are not bad enough at it to be of major concern. We'll see how this number shakes out when they have played some more pedestrian offenses.
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The Oregon State offense (#106) isn't very good. I don't think the model is off by 70 or so, even with an early season sample size. Maybe it would help if I included games against FCS opponents in the model, but I doubt it. I also haven't watched a minute of Oregon State so far this year. I hope they are playing A LOT of young guys.
Oregon State is middling in three categories: Drive Efficiency, 3rd down, and preventing D-plus plays. They put up more points that you would predict on pure measurables. Being decent on 3rd down and not giving up D-plus plays are important because they give you a chance to keep a non-explosive offense going.
Oregon State is terrible at Play Efficiency, Explosiveness, and preventing Negative Drives; 3/4 of the components of a team's score. This is about as non-threatening an offense as you fill find in a major conference.
Oregon State is middling in three categories: Drive Efficiency, 3rd down, and preventing D-plus plays. They put up more points that you would predict on pure measurables. Being decent on 3rd down and not giving up D-plus plays are important because they give you a chance to keep a non-explosive offense going.
Oregon State is terrible at Play Efficiency, Explosiveness, and preventing Negative Drives; 3/4 of the components of a team's score. This is about as non-threatening an offense as you fill find in a major conference.
Colorado's defense (#7) is having a banner early while playing a brutal schedule the last two weeks. Not many teams will play as well as Colorado did, on the road, against the #2 and #4 offenses in the country. Some people, some damn people, will point out that Colorado gave up 45 and 38 points in those games, don't listen to those people. I think Colorado comes back to earth a little bit as the season goes on, but I still think this is a very good defense.
Colorado flat out excels at Drive Efficiency, #1, and that helps them against teams like Michigan and Oregon where you are going to give up yards and even some Drives, but you need to find ways to limit points. The Buffs are pretty good at Play Efficiency and limiting Explosive Drives. They create a lot of D-Plus plays and they are very good on 3rd down, suggesting that they find ways to get off the field, even if they surrender some yards.
Colorado flat out excels at Drive Efficiency, #1, and that helps them against teams like Michigan and Oregon where you are going to give up yards and even some Drives, but you need to find ways to limit points. The Buffs are pretty good at Play Efficiency and limiting Explosive Drives. They create a lot of D-Plus plays and they are very good on 3rd down, suggesting that they find ways to get off the field, even if they surrender some yards.
Colorado isn't good at creating Negative Drives, which is problematic, but they are not bad enough at it to be of major concern. We'll see how this number shakes out when they have played some more pedestrian offenses.
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