Week 4 Matchup Stanford Offense vs UCLA Defense

Stanford Offense vs UCLA Defense

Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart


Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best


Until Weeks 5-6 the model outputs are directional, but useful

The Stanford offense (#32), is not yet what they were last year where they were #2 in Beta_Rank. They might end up being great, but so far the model hasn't been impresssed with USC and Stanford didn't put up points per possession like Alabama did against the Trojans. The model think better of KSU's defense, but again Stanford didn't level them like 2015 Stanford's offense would have.

Stanford is good, but not great at most everything so far and that is probably a product of a new QB and some new offensive linemen. Some of this is Stanford not impressing the model early and that will change as the season goes on and Stanford performs better.

Some of this is pretty shocking, even with the personnel losses, and a team with McCaffrey not being among the most explosive teams in CFB. Stanford isn't the same plodding team at reciever that they were a few years ago. They have some speed out there now. Stanford needs to do everything a little better, but Explosiveness seams to be the easiest to fix.

UCLA's defense (#30) has been pretty good so far. The only really questionable result is giving up 21 to UNLV at home. They did give up 14 to a bad BYU offense on the road, which makes them pretty similar to Arizona and Utah. Giving up 31 to A&M on the road to start the season is not a big deal.

UCLA is very good at three of the main facets of defense, limiting yards per play, limiting explosive drives, and creating negative drives. UCLA is particularly good at creating negative drives (<3.3333 ydspp). The defensive line plays a big part of that. 

UCLA is not good at creating D-plus plays or on 3rd down and this partly explains why they are under-performing on drive efficiency. I would expect the 3rd down number to improve if UCLA is going to keep winning. They also should be generating far more D-plus plays for a defense with so much talent and coached by Bob Bradley. 

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