Week 5 Matchup ASU Offense vs USC Defense

ASU Offense vs   USC Defense

Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart


Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best


Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful

The ASU offense (#60) really needs to play somebody with a pulse. Thus far they have played Texas Tech (#128), UTSA (#91), and Cal (#97). There is a decent chance that if I ranked Northern Arizona that the Lumberjacks would be the best defense that ASU has faced so far. Lucky for ASU fans and talking heads, ASU swaps dance partners with Utah this week, so they get USC's defense; which is terrible.

ASU is pretty good at Drive Efficiency. They put up more points per drive than their other measurables would predict. They also avoid Negative Drives at an OK clip. ASU doesn't put itself in holes and they put up points when they get the chance.

ASU is awful, awful, at Play Efficiency and Explosiveness. They don't generate great yards per play and they don't seem to get into the end zone off explosive plays. They are not great on 3rd down and the give up a lot of D-plus plays. ASU looks like an offense under a new coordinator, with a new QB, and breaking in a lot of players. Luckily for them their early season training camp continues against the Trojans.

USC's defense (#100) is the worst defense in the conference right now and might get Clay Helton a healthy end of year severance package if they don't pick up their play. Sure the Utah game was on the road, but the USC defense made Utah look pretty competent on offense and they let Utah win the game on a fairly absurd drive. I have been falling into the name trap with the USC defense so far this year, but after the Utah game I am sold on this being a really bad defense with a bunch of highly recruited players and highly paid coaches.

USC is good at preventing Explosive Drives and they are middle of the road at Play Efficiency. The Utah and Stanford games were good examples of this. USC gave up some big plays, but they gave up most of their points on sustained drives

USC is getting killed on Drive Efficiency, controlling for everything else in the model, USC will give up more points per drive to an opposing offense than an average team, by a lot. USC is also very bad at creating Negative Drives, on 3rd Down, and D-plus plays. This defense struggles to get you in a hole and plays a lot of 3rd and managable.

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