Oregon Offense vs Washington State Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The Oregon offense (#2) is have a great run in the first third of the season and putting up 38 on the defense the model has ranked at #7, in Colorado helps. Oregon has played one bad, one decent, and one great defense according to the model and they have played well against all of them. Sure Dakota Prukop has thrown some knuckleballs, but math doesn't care about your mechanics.
Oregon is excellent at Drive Efficiency. They put points on the board, and usually touchdowns, at a clip that outpaces their relative rankings in the other offensive metrics. Which is not to say that they are not good at the other metrics. Oregon is very good at Play Efficiency, very good at Explosive Drives, and pretty close to excellent at avoiding Negative Drives. They also excel at preventing D-plus plays and on 3rd down.
What isn't Oregon good at on offense so far? Beating the perception that it isn't having a great early season because the defense is terrible and putting them in positions where if they don't make the last play, they don't win the game.
Oregon is excellent at Drive Efficiency. They put points on the board, and usually touchdowns, at a clip that outpaces their relative rankings in the other offensive metrics. Which is not to say that they are not good at the other metrics. Oregon is very good at Play Efficiency, very good at Explosive Drives, and pretty close to excellent at avoiding Negative Drives. They also excel at preventing D-plus plays and on 3rd down.
What isn't Oregon good at on offense so far? Beating the perception that it isn't having a great early season because the defense is terrible and putting them in positions where if they don't make the last play, they don't win the game.
Washington State's defense (#14) is still a bit of a mystery. Having only played two games against teams from the FBS, and we don't talk about the FCS in Pullman, they don't have a lot of N. There is no shame in losing to Boise State, Boise State might end up Pac12 North Champion this year based on win % and the fact that sent Larry Scott a nice fruit basket. The model likes Boise's offense so far and that is helping WSU's defensive ranking. Oregon is going to put them to a serious test, but it might not crush their spot because Oregon is so good. WSU was actually pretty good on defense last year so this isn't an impossibly crazy rank. They could easily stick in this area.
WSU is flat out great at containing Explosive Drives, which is a major component of a unit's score in Beta_Rank. The are also very very good at Play Efficiency, creating Negative Drives, and pretty good on 3rd down. WSU has been pretty darn good on most of the per play measurables. All of which is good and bodes well for the defense's chances in the future.
WSU is flat out great at containing Explosive Drives, which is a major component of a unit's score in Beta_Rank. The are also very very good at Play Efficiency, creating Negative Drives, and pretty good on 3rd down. WSU has been pretty darn good on most of the per play measurables. All of which is good and bodes well for the defense's chances in the future.
WSU is not very good at all at Drive Efficiency. They allow a lot of points relative to their per play drive measurables. They gave up some methodical drives to Boise. They are also not very good at creating D-plus plays. Both of things are really going to have to improve these to put a check on the Oregon offense.
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