Washington Offense vs Stanford Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Stanford isn't great at creating Negative Drives or on 3rd down and that might come back to haunt them. Giving extra chances to your opponents isn't usually a good strategy, see two out walks in baseball. The easy thing to say about Stanford is that they bend, but don't break, but that isn't the actual story behind the data. Stanford is a talented and disciplined team, that tackles well. It is hard to create Explosive Drives or sustain long drives against them.
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The Washington offense (#14) isn't this good, but it is benefiting from the model running on small samples and a few odd outcomes (like the model currently thinks Rutgers is good at defense after their work shutting down Iowa last weekend, Rutgers isn't. I have seen them in person stink it up against New Mexico). So I expect Washington ends up somewhere in the 40's by the end of the year, they looked pretty good against Arizona's defense most of the night, but so did Hawaii. When they figured out that they could run the ball effectively they really changed the tenor of the game, but Browning and the passing game did not have a great night. They were able to gobble up tons of possession and keep the game from getting too up tempo. They are not going to be able to line up and run it against this Stanford defense, so Browning and the receivers are going to have to be better if they want to win this game.
Washington is still a very explosive team, but they couldn't just blow past Arizona, and they showed that they can put together drives in a way that they hadn't had to in the early season. Their Drive Efficiency ranking is pretty solid, but they need to finish off drives and get points when they have the chance, something they did not do well against Arizona. They are very good at preventing D-plus plays and that will be key against Stanford.
Washington isn't great on 3rd down and they are not great at preventing Negative Drives. They really need to do better here vs. Stanford. Stanford doesn't create a lot of Negative Drives, but they do force you off the field at an ok clip when they get you into 3rd down. If you are Washington you want to put yourself in a position where you are not asking Browning to do too much on 3rd down.
Washington is still a very explosive team, but they couldn't just blow past Arizona, and they showed that they can put together drives in a way that they hadn't had to in the early season. Their Drive Efficiency ranking is pretty solid, but they need to finish off drives and get points when they have the chance, something they did not do well against Arizona. They are very good at preventing D-plus plays and that will be key against Stanford.
Washington isn't great on 3rd down and they are not great at preventing Negative Drives. They really need to do better here vs. Stanford. Stanford doesn't create a lot of Negative Drives, but they do force you off the field at an ok clip when they get you into 3rd down. If you are Washington you want to put yourself in a position where you are not asking Browning to do too much on 3rd down.
Stanford's defense (#11) looked as good as their ranking in shutting down UCLA. While UCLA isn't among the best offenses in the conference thus far, they do have better talent than they often play to, which makes them dangerous. Stanford shut down the UCLA run game and forced UCLA to try to score on Rosen's arm; they should do something similar this week against Browning and the Huskies.
Stanford excels, and I mean excels, at Drive Efficiency. Stanford's defense just keeps you from putting points on the board, even when they give up Explosive Drives, even when they don't drop your Play Efficiency. They are pretty good at Play Efficiency and preventing Explosive Drives too. Stanford is also pretty good at creating D-plus plays, which is a great way to offset some of their weaknesses.
Stanford excels, and I mean excels, at Drive Efficiency. Stanford's defense just keeps you from putting points on the board, even when they give up Explosive Drives, even when they don't drop your Play Efficiency. They are pretty good at Play Efficiency and preventing Explosive Drives too. Stanford is also pretty good at creating D-plus plays, which is a great way to offset some of their weaknesses.
Stanford isn't great at creating Negative Drives or on 3rd down and that might come back to haunt them. Giving extra chances to your opponents isn't usually a good strategy, see two out walks in baseball. The easy thing to say about Stanford is that they bend, but don't break, but that isn't the actual story behind the data. Stanford is a talented and disciplined team, that tackles well. It is hard to create Explosive Drives or sustain long drives against them.
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