Week 5 Matchup Washington State Offense vs Oregon Defense

Washington State Offense vs Oregon Defense

Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA Smoothed D3.js Radar Chart


Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA 
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best


Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful

The Washington State offense (#17) has played pretty well so far, but in the weird ways that come with small sample sizes. Boise has a pretty good early season defense and WSU played fairly well against them.

WSU is excellent at Drive Efficiency and very good at Play Efficiency and avoiding Negative Drives. All those things look like a West Coast Offense that is great within the confines of the sticks, rather than an Air Raid offense. WSU is running the ball more effectively in the past two seasons.

WSU hasn't created Explosive Drives, at all, really. If they could run that number while maintaining their pace on the other metrics they could be one of the best offenses in the country this year. It'll be tough to keep up their other metrics if they can't force defenses to worry more about Explosive Drives.

Oregon's defense (#70) is really bad at one thing,  but that one thing counts for a lot. They are playing pretty well in a lot of phases of the games, but it can all be for naught. Colorado put a very efficient hurting on the Ducks at home.

Oregon is very good at Play Efficiency and containing Explosive Drives, They are pretty good at creating Negative drives, but it looks worse when you put it up in metric space where the absolute best team in the NCAA is 100%. They are also pretty good on 3rd down and pretty OK at creating D-plus plays. When you look at Oregon's per play measurables on its drives they look pretty good.

But it doesn't matter if you keep them to a decent per play number if that yards per play number is better than 3.3333 yards per play and you let them repeat it ad nauseam. Oregon needs to clean up their awful Drive Efficiency number if they want to preempt being the punchline for Mark Helfrich's updating his resume. 

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