Washington Offense vs Oregon Defense
Rankings reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
Until Weeks 6-7 the model outputs are directional, but useful
The Washington offense (#7) is rolling and it is time to acknowledge that they might be significantly better than last season and that this probably isn't small sample size greatness. Here's the thing though, Stanford was probably the only very good defense they have left on their schedule until they play the Apple Cup. If they are not as awesome as they look, it will have to be something they do to themselves rather than running into a behemoth that lets us know.
Washington is extremely good at producing Explosive Drives and they are good at Drive Efficiency, the two largest components of a unit's Beta_Rank. Washington is also good Play Efficiency and avoiding Negative Drives. The maturity of Browning in this offense is something to see and they have been able to run the ball well this season.
Washington has not been great on 3rd down or at preventing D-plus plays given their strength of schedule. This really only hurt them in the first half with Arizona where they failed to realize that they could run the ball and Browning didn't look great.
Washington is extremely good at producing Explosive Drives and they are good at Drive Efficiency, the two largest components of a unit's Beta_Rank. Washington is also good Play Efficiency and avoiding Negative Drives. The maturity of Browning in this offense is something to see and they have been able to run the ball well this season.
Washington has not been great on 3rd down or at preventing D-plus plays given their strength of schedule. This really only hurt them in the first half with Arizona where they failed to realize that they could run the ball and Browning didn't look great.
Oregon's defense (#99) is going to probably cost Mark Helfrich his job this season. They don't have any offensive juggernauts on the schedule after Washington, but this defense is so bad that it puts a lot of games into area where Oregon could lose them no matter what the offense does. Their best game was probably Nebraska and that isn't one that anyone has any warm feelings about.
A funny thing about Oregon's terrible defense is that they are very good at Play Efficiency. They are able to hold teams to a pretty good yards per play component of their scoring. They are also good at creating Negative Drives, so they can force teams into 3 and outs; controlling for their schedule they are good on 3rd down and middling at creating D-plus plays. In some ways they don't profile as terrible.
A funny thing about Oregon's terrible defense is that they are very good at Play Efficiency. They are able to hold teams to a pretty good yards per play component of their scoring. They are also good at creating Negative Drives, so they can force teams into 3 and outs; controlling for their schedule they are good on 3rd down and middling at creating D-plus plays. In some ways they don't profile as terrible.
Oregon is just about as bad as you can get at Drive Efficiency. They simply don't do enough to disrupt drives and get off the field and they almost always give up points. They are also not so good at preventing Explosive Drives. These two scores are the two most crucial to be good at, so Oregon has an uphill climb to get out of the basement as the Pac12's worst defense.
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