Colorado Offense vs Washington Defense
Chart reflect ranking percentile for Offense or Defense vs NCAA
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
0 is worst unit in NCAA 100 is best
The Colorado offense (#45) is trending to about where we expected them over the full season. They were really bad last year, so in the limited data early in the season when they looked like a top ten offense, it helped to take a breath. It is fully possible to make the kind of jump from the #40's to #3 like their defense did, but nearly impossible to jump from #90+ to #10+ in one season. The progress that have made is not insignificant though and you can probably expect them to be really good next year if most of these guys who are slated to return do return. Washington is going to be significant challenge for them though because the Washington defense profiles like USC.
Colorado is very good on excellent at Drive Efficiency and they are OK at Play Efficiency. The Buffs are consistent and they put up points when they have the chance. They also get a good push off the ball and put up a good yards per play. The Buffs are also good on 3rd down and on D-plus Plays.
Colorado is pretty average at Explosive Drives and Negative Drives. They don't put up a lot of big plays and they go 3 and out more often than a top notch offense would. Colorado is going to have to clean that up in this game. Their special teams are not good enough to move the field position needle on their own.
Colorado is very good on excellent at Drive Efficiency and they are OK at Play Efficiency. The Buffs are consistent and they put up points when they have the chance. They also get a good push off the ball and put up a good yards per play. The Buffs are also good on 3rd down and on D-plus Plays.
Colorado is pretty average at Explosive Drives and Negative Drives. They don't put up a lot of big plays and they go 3 and out more often than a top notch offense would. Colorado is going to have to clean that up in this game. Their special teams are not good enough to move the field position needle on their own.
Washington's defense (#6) has been consistently improving as the season has gone on; getting very close to the level they were at last year. As the Huskies defense has emerged and improved it makes Washington a truly dangerous team in the data. Beta_Rank would favor them slightly even if they played at Clemson; so I sincerely hope that if the CFB committee is thinking of dropping a potential one loss conference champion that is is the Tigers. Washington pulled off another multi-turnover performance against WSU last week. The 4 turnovers they forced mean they have 9 against WSU in their last two games. WSU is a really good football team, but when you turn it over 4 times against a team like the Huskies you could get blown out. The key for Washington in this game is to not let Colorado score when the Buffs get good field position from their defense, which will happen. Colorado isn't a yards accumulating marvel, they just put up points consistently when their defense puts them in good positions.
Washington is excellent at Play Efficiency, Explosive Drives, and Negative Drives. They are also pretty good on 3rd down. This defense is great on per play metrics. They don't make you work for your yards per play, they don't give up a lot of big plays, and they force a lot of 3 and outs. They are only OK on Drive Efficiency, which means they could be more consistent.
Washington isn't great at D-plus Plays, they aren't forcing a ton of turnovers, even with last week, and that could make a big difference for them.
Washington is excellent at Play Efficiency, Explosive Drives, and Negative Drives. They are also pretty good on 3rd down. This defense is great on per play metrics. They don't make you work for your yards per play, they don't give up a lot of big plays, and they force a lot of 3 and outs. They are only OK on Drive Efficiency, which means they could be more consistent.
Washington isn't great at D-plus Plays, they aren't forcing a ton of turnovers, even with last week, and that could make a big difference for them.
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